Which stocks are the most volatile? Least volatile? Will your stock's volatility rise or fall over the next month? A stock's historical volatility is measured as the standard deviation of its past returns (annualized).

In the table below, we list historical volatility (standard deviation) estimates over the past year and past 5 years. Current volatility estimates from our volatility models, and the average volatility forecast over the next month. All estimates are annualized and computed using daily stock returns.

Volatility Estimates and Forecasts (Standard Deviation) for Large-Cap Stocks

Data updated through market close on 12/23/2022

Ticker	5-Year Historical	1-Year Historical	Month Ago (Model)	Current Estimate (Model)	Next Month Average Forecast
TSLA	61.95	58.54	67.75	72.77	66.72
CHTR	31.04	34.25	35.40	64.74	53.20
NVDA	50.56	55.00	55.04	62.44	54.10
NFLX	46.84	58.20	53.67	52.74	51.22
META	41.67	53.69	36.10	47.32	46.53
GM	39.59	40.77	35.68	46.84	42.18
SLB	46.42	45.57	44.52	45.75	46.36
ACN	26.92	27.82	26.43	45.50	33.34
F	38.81	45.83	38.61	45.01	42.03
BIIB	46.48	46.64	41.29	43.45	48.02
AMZN	34.18	40.44	42.31	42.40	35.98
COF	40.76	37.39	53.87	40.40	39.07
QCOM	39.28	40.82	41.03	40.31	39.57
DIS	30.87	31.33	58.67	39.68	35.61
FDX	36.11	37.13	44.23	39.60	38.49
BA	47.52	41.57	32.29	39.18	42.15
AAPL	31.77	30.37	33.29	38.06	33.18
COP	42.63	38.91	44.54	37.83	39.59
TGT	34.22	38.84	63.96	36.97	35.83
ADBE	35.98	39.23	43.30	36.03	35.54
GOOG	29.71	32.03	38.54	35.48	32.01
GOOGL	29.74	32.10	37.85	34.66	31.49
PYPL	41.38	49.51	53.22	33.88	39.09
BKNG	35.48	38.00	32.05	33.70	34.20
GE	41.82	32.78	26.40	33.44	36.67
MSFT	29.39	29.50	27.55	33.16	29.65
NKE	32.03	36.68	36.80	32.91	32.83
INTC	36.01	33.68	38.46	32.05	34.11
BAC	33.92	29.04	22.57	31.73	31.51
C	36.70	28.86	30.18	31.13	32.46
MS	33.83	29.20	24.49	30.27	30.97
AXP	34.80	32.01	27.89	30.19	32.78
WFC	35.42	33.02	22.07	30.08	32.74
DHR	25.64	29.16	34.65	29.60	27.18
TXN	30.72	28.40	31.37	29.38	29.57
BLK	30.61	30.73	44.65	27.80	28.62
GS	31.59	27.28	19.81	27.77	28.78
KHC	31.27	23.27	28.77	27.68	31.39
LOW	33.01	29.30	34.55	27.63	32.11
COST	23.77	26.83	21.33	27.22	24.41
CMCSA	27.74	27.29	24.71	27.21	26.91
PFE	24.73	27.43	22.50	26.70	25.35
TMO	27.32	28.00	29.38	26.56	26.43
CVX	33.81	29.23	26.56	26.47	30.70
UPS	28.27	28.61	23.25	26.37	28.56
IBM	26.62	23.15	22.10	26.16	25.83
MA	31.22	30.21	27.22	26.08	29.31
CAT	31.97	29.80	25.88	25.68	27.47
LLY	28.10	28.41	28.11	25.53	26.17
HD	27.47	26.77	31.47	25.44	25.71
XOM	31.99	31.94	28.26	25.08	29.98
MDT	24.83	23.12	37.11	24.96	23.97
CVS	28.39	24.18	25.27	24.82	26.75
MMM	25.94	23.40	24.24	24.81	25.17
WBA	31.93	28.88	34.30	24.75	30.05
MET	33.04	25.33	16.29	24.70	29.16
BK	30.13	28.31	24.22	24.61	27.05
EMR	30.76	24.79	20.65	24.58	27.06
BMY	23.79	19.08	20.33	24.44	24.44
SBUX	29.45	30.11	21.81	23.98	26.97
T	24.98	24.38	18.52	23.94	23.96
ORCL	28.40	29.55	21.55	23.85	26.63
AIG	37.99	30.72	19.50	23.76	33.81
UNH	27.76	22.01	27.89	23.73	24.92
USB	31.49	27.32	23.77	23.71	27.74
UNP	27.57	23.06	23.28	23.41	25.35
V	27.68	27.87	27.37	23.41	25.94
KMI	31.71	25.96	25.03	23.36	28.53
NEE	25.51	26.18	26.82	23.12	24.08
JPM	30.35	26.16	18.77	22.81	26.23
GILD	26.00	21.80	30.93	22.78	23.87
ABBV	27.71	21.38	23.34	22.72	26.65
ABT	25.61	24.18	21.84	22.22	23.39
MO	26.08	24.19	20.50	21.99	25.67
SPG	45.07	31.69	34.06	21.28	37.49
WMT	22.92	22.46	24.26	21.23	22.35
CSCO	28.00	25.57	24.52	21.19	27.00
BRKB	21.93	19.30	21.05	21.07	21.14
HON	25.62	22.36	19.16	20.56	22.80
AMGN	24.73	21.17	21.63	20.17	23.11
RTX	30.64	23.72	23.33	20.16	26.35
SO	24.95	19.61	19.03	19.53	22.12
GD	24.73	20.71	19.22	19.44	22.18
VZ	19.76	18.96	18.60	19.42	19.26
EXC	26.45	22.22	25.78	19.41	22.42
LMT	25.57	23.84	24.52	18.92	23.14
MCD	22.82	17.70	16.71	18.71	19.82
PM	26.70	22.15	17.26	18.50	25.75
ALL	26.54	26.45	24.97	18.23	23.24
DUK	22.65	19.18	22.80	17.99	20.35
MRK	22.39	22.10	21.54	17.49	20.32
MDLZ	21.18	18.37	14.21	16.81	19.00
KO	20.49	17.41	18.85	16.16	17.95
JNJ	19.94	15.75	16.26	15.58	17.78
CL	20.68	18.07	14.88	15.28	18.25
PEP	21.04	17.14	15.71	14.40	18.00

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