Volatility Estimates and Forecasts (Standard Deviation) for Large-Cap Stocks

Which stocks are the most volatile? Least volatile? Will your stock's volatility rise or fall over the next month? A stock's historical volatility is measured as the standard deviation of its past returns (annualized).

In the table below, we list historical volatility (standard deviation) estimates over the past year and past 5 years. Current volatility estimates from our volatility models, and the average volatility forecast over the next month. All estimates are annualized and computed using daily stock returns.

Data updated through market close on 07/16/2025

Ticker	1-Year Historical	Month Ago (Model)	Current Estimate (Model)	Next Month Average Forecast
TSLA	70.68	70.97	60.94	61.77
AMD	51.94	46.37	48.44	49.62
DOW	36.15	44.33	46.49	42.51
PYPL	36.89	44.09	44.83	43.83
TGT	40.94	53.71	43.87	37.75
CHTR	38.48	35.04	43.82	35.88
NVDA	57.06	46.04	40.32	48.79
F	37.86	37.26	39.67	41.54
NFLX	31.08	38.00	38.76	47.85
UNH	45.22	52.08	37.59	33.62
INTC	62.28	45.72	36.99	44.50
ACN	27.46	25.50	35.26	30.40
LLY	36.98	31.62	34.47	31.42
NKE	43.32	34.93	34.43	34.47
WFC	32.85	31.01	34.42	33.46
ADBE	36.62	39.10	33.68	35.85
USB	29.01	33.74	33.23	32.69
DHR	29.68	26.75	32.97	27.96
GM	36.45	35.51	32.79	33.85
FDX	36.20	31.76	32.23	34.68
GOOG	30.38	32.35	31.99	31.83
ORCL	43.42	67.48	31.98	32.75
CRM	38.43	42.74	31.93	38.54
AXP	31.26	32.41	31.72	31.38
COP	32.56	35.37	31.72	33.60
META	35.45	32.23	31.59	45.42
QCOM	41.83	35.96	31.55	37.10
LOW	24.47	30.05	31.28	26.89
GOOGL	30.66	33.04	30.55	30.45
MET	28.42	28.09	30.11	28.83
CMCSA	27.61	26.03	29.78	26.52
BA	38.69	38.73	29.67	36.46
COF	38.46	32.93	29.56	35.95
TMO	27.05	27.83	28.67	26.69
SCHW	28.50	28.53	28.51	32.59
SBUX	38.39	31.86	27.99	29.65
UPS	31.71	28.12	27.78	29.35
BLK	25.86	27.46	27.68	27.52
BAC	28.14	24.69	27.64	28.81
TMUS	26.60	31.43	27.57	26.70
GILD	27.05	28.11	26.94	25.92
CAT	29.49	26.93	26.71	29.50
CVS	36.71	30.56	26.57	29.02
KHC	22.53	19.56	26.52	24.22
GS	32.73	25.69	26.37	28.49
GE	33.49	35.68	26.06	31.66
MMM	33.09	29.01	26.03	27.04
BKNG	28.32	30.00	25.95	31.22
ABBV	27.94	20.17	25.91	23.91
V	22.46	26.58	25.80	24.84
NEE	29.30	23.66	25.63	26.46
DIS	28.88	29.77	25.60	28.33
IBM	26.68	26.12	25.16	24.98
CVX	25.02	24.07	24.99	26.22
BMY	30.35	23.34	24.71	23.79
PFE	24.03	24.76	24.54	25.10
JPM	27.30	22.78	24.48	26.04
XOM	23.94	25.61	24.43	26.49
MS	32.58	26.44	24.36	27.87
T	23.27	22.47	24.26	24.16
CSCO	22.43	27.35	24.23	24.04
MRK	27.64	21.25	24.16	22.66
MA	21.87	28.37	23.71	25.06
C	33.50	26.51	23.63	28.58
AMZN	33.19	26.29	23.52	33.03
AMT	26.57	25.73	23.47	23.47
HD	22.59	24.78	23.46	23.41
TXN	37.20	29.93	22.83	27.10
AIG	24.06	26.47	22.82	30.01
SPG	26.72	23.85	22.77	32.55
AMGN	25.98	22.93	22.64	23.92
KMI	25.30	20.29	22.44	24.44
AAPL	31.37	27.91	21.77	25.76
ABT	20.59	20.61	21.39	21.43
LMT	24.07	27.36	21.33	21.95
RTX	25.74	23.76	21.16	22.28
UNP	22.55	21.02	21.09	23.03
PM	24.06	20.93	20.97	21.02
MO	19.60	20.06	20.93	22.23
WMT	23.10	21.53	20.68	20.66
MDT	21.51	22.56	20.08	20.46
PG	18.92	19.92	19.77	18.88
LIN	17.94	18.68	19.61	21.01
HON	23.60	17.70	19.29	21.80
VZ	22.24	18.65	19.06	20.15
COST	21.73	22.77	18.52	20.84
MDLZ	20.64	18.53	18.45	18.51
MSFT	24.35	22.53	18.43	20.60
BK	23.77	22.97	18.10	22.40
EXC	19.47	20.18	17.96	20.92
GD	21.63	16.82	17.52	20.58
DUK	17.80	18.86	17.37	17.74
MCD	19.76	17.75	17.29	17.33
PEP	19.64	15.75	16.96	17.53
EMR	30.88	22.93	16.82	21.07
BRKB	19.18	15.76	16.46	17.47
SO	18.36	16.62	16.26	18.36
CL	20.12	18.99	16.25	17.47
JNJ	19.39	16.26	16.16	19.00
KO	16.61	16.85	15.48	16.20

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