Volatility Estimates and Forecasts (Standard Deviation) for Large-Cap Stocks

Which stocks are the most volatile? Least volatile? Will your stock's volatility rise or fall over the next month? A stock's historical volatility is measured as the standard deviation of its past returns (annualized).

In the table below, we list historical volatility (standard deviation) estimates over the past year and past 5 years. Current volatility estimates from our volatility models, and the average volatility forecast over the next month. All estimates are annualized and computed using daily stock returns.

Data updated through market close on 07/03/2025

Ticker	1-Year Historical	Month Ago (Model)	Current Estimate (Model)	Next Month Average Forecast
TSLA	70.58	57.55	65.98	64.26
INTC	61.96	45.86	52.36	46.10
AMD	51.54	46.17	48.85	49.72
UNH	45.10	70.30	46.92	39.05
DOW	35.26	50.49	45.59	42.68
NKE	43.18	34.19	45.13	36.85
NVDA	57.08	43.52	44.78	49.66
F	37.74	40.77	41.00	41.23
ORCL	43.34	30.32	40.51	34.61
NFLX	31.09	38.97	40.43	48.15
ADBE	36.54	36.79	38.65	38.13
AIG	24.26	19.59	37.71	33.05
PYPL	36.44	32.90	36.09	42.15
FDX	36.15	31.38	35.58	35.25
CVS	36.71	27.15	35.47	29.74
BA	38.73	28.41	35.36	38.81
META	35.49	41.06	35.12	46.02
GM	36.45	37.00	34.52	35.15
GE	33.55	24.78	34.10	33.97
COP	32.35	37.13	33.30	34.71
CHTR	38.23	31.66	32.91	34.54
QCOM	41.98	34.14	32.72	37.38
CRM	38.44	34.60	32.70	38.76
GOOGL	30.61	34.79	32.30	31.85
GOOG	30.31	33.78	32.01	31.78
TGT	41.60	34.35	31.45	37.33
ACN	27.11	25.21	30.48	28.10
LLY	36.99	31.48	30.12	31.36
TMUS	26.43	32.73	29.73	28.40
SBUX	38.61	31.65	29.73	30.48
NEE	29.21	31.04	29.49	27.81
USB	28.97	25.87	29.21	32.57
MA	21.73	19.68	28.85	27.37
AMGN	25.91	23.00	28.62	24.27
CAT	29.52	27.58	28.47	29.69
UPS	31.67	27.83	28.10	29.43
TMO	26.64	24.84	27.85	26.52
AMZN	33.11	25.89	27.75	33.64
CMCSA	27.36	24.92	27.24	26.47
KMI	25.28	21.20	26.99	26.02
DIS	28.89	32.91	26.79	28.89
V	22.36	22.58	26.73	25.50
T	23.13	21.32	26.46	24.51
COF	38.43	32.97	26.28	35.22
IBM	26.66	27.09	26.04	25.82
GILD	26.56	29.48	25.76	24.93
TXN	37.29	32.40	25.75	28.06
SCHW	29.04	27.25	25.69	32.02
XOM	23.86	24.87	25.58	27.38
PFE	24.14	24.42	25.12	25.34
MMM	33.25	27.42	25.06	27.08
GS	32.66	24.34	24.97	28.24
BKNG	28.31	23.47	24.89	30.82
MO	19.27	20.08	24.74	22.67
LOW	24.38	23.87	24.57	25.70
RTX	25.71	28.22	24.49	24.71
KHC	22.06	22.62	23.77	23.10
LMT	23.98	22.00	23.72	22.96
DHR	29.49	24.65	23.70	26.44
CSCO	22.68	20.62	23.60	24.18
AMT	26.68	26.96	23.34	24.03
CVX	24.73	25.08	22.91	25.36
MRK	27.47	22.64	22.59	22.69
SPG	26.77	27.32	22.47	33.41
ABBV	27.76	21.78	22.46	23.08
HD	22.68	23.94	22.33	22.55
BMY	30.12	25.10	22.31	22.75
AAPL	31.37	30.16	22.31	25.97
UNP	22.79	22.19	22.27	23.38
HON	23.57	19.41	22.06	22.63
WFC	32.45	27.23	21.87	27.30
MET	28.32	21.08	21.62	27.53
ABT	20.65	21.66	21.61	21.63
PM	23.92	21.54	21.60	21.57
BK	23.79	21.44	21.43	23.82
MDT	21.58	24.14	21.28	21.49
MSFT	24.40	25.45	20.73	21.63
BLK	25.08	26.56	20.12	22.50
MS	32.49	27.42	20.07	25.14
AXP	30.96	27.85	19.52	26.00
WMT	23.74	20.91	19.51	19.82
COST	21.67	21.81	19.39	20.91
EXC	19.52	19.74	19.31	21.43
MDLZ	20.57	19.38	19.11	18.92
VZ	22.13	18.06	18.98	20.18
MCD	19.80	16.91	18.71	18.22
C	33.33	26.07	18.08	26.46
DUK	17.81	20.73	17.98	18.27
PG	18.75	19.12	17.89	17.69
CL	20.02	16.82	17.41	17.73
BRKB	19.12	18.07	17.31	17.93
WBA	58.26	22.09	17.21	28.34
SO	18.35	19.36	16.91	18.60
JPM	27.48	19.66	16.86	24.55
EMR	30.92	29.68	16.74	19.90
GD	21.59	19.78	16.65	20.35
PEP	19.67	17.71	16.62	17.73
KO	16.58	18.02	16.15	16.56
BAC	28.01	23.21	15.69	24.10
JNJ	18.72	15.69	15.54	16.98

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