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Stock Trading Signals
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Books on Technical Analysis and Stock Trading Systems
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Stock Market Strategies that Work
- Finding Winning Stocks, Using Technical Indicators Effectively, and Techniques…
by Jake Bernstein and Elloit Bernstein
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
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It's When You Sell That Counts
by Donald L. Cassidy
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
This book is long on the psychology of selling stocks and short on actual quantifiable rules to trade by. To many of the suggestions depend on the kind of foresight that, if you had it, would make books on trading irrelevant, e.g., "Sell some stocks when an extended market advance has exceeded realistic growth rates" and "Sell on an unsustainable upward price spike on big volume." So what is realistic and what is unsustainable? The one explicit set of quantitative selling rules involves what is termed the "personal diffusion index" which is the percent of stocks in a portfolio or universe that have increased over the past 3 months. Trading rules are developed on this index such as on a decline from 90 percent to 50 percent: "immediate final sell signal--this is the market top. Act without delay or excuses." Unfortunately, no statistical evidence is presented that using these rules will result in better trades than some alternative (which is not to say the index does not have predictive power).
Selected chapter titles: Hidden reasons we resist selling, Require realism to support hope, Forget your cost price, Understand that you sell the stock, not the company; Be a contrarian; Focus on the time value of money; Rethink that old buy-and-hold religion; Separate selling from new buying; Use the Personal Diffusion Index; Overcome greed: Stop chasing the last eighth; Sell when it just feels so good; Use above-market instead of stop-loss orders; Sell smart on good news; Understand how bad the bad news is; The hold/sell decision checklist.
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Rocket Science for Traders
by John F. Elders
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
Even for those with the requisite mathematical training, this book is very
hard to follow. We implemented many of the procedures in this book but were
unable to find a system that worked well for stocks. Nonetheless, it does present
some interesting signal-processing techniques for identifying the amplitude and
frequency of cycles that are worthy of further study.
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Trading with Oscillators
- Pinpointing Market Extremes - Theory and Practice
by Mark Etzkorn
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
The important message of this book is that while oscillators such as stochastics are appealing in that their premise is to buy low and sell high (and who can disagree with that!), relying on oscillators alone in a trading strategy is far too risky. Rather, oscillators should be used in conjunction with other trading methods to discern the trend of the market.
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Smarter Trading
- Improving Performance in Changing Markets
by Perry J. Kaufman
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
This book discusses the problems inherent in trend following trading strategies based on standard types of moving averages, e.g. whipsaws and giving up too much of large gains. It introduces Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) which automatically increases the "speed" of the moving average as market volatility increases. Kaufman demonstrates how profit taking can improve trading system performance, while using stop-loss orders can destroy the profitablity of a system. Thus a book about trend following ends up making points more associated with contrarian trading.
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Trading in the Global Currency Markets
by Cornelius Luca
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
Chapters: 1. What is foreign exchange? 2. Historical development of foreign exhcange. 3. The European Monetary Union. 4. Currency characterisitcs. 5. Foreign exchange risks. 6. Central banks. 7. Price structure and foreign exchange terminology. 8. Corporate trading. 9. Foreign exchange settlement. 10. Conducting foreign exchange trading. 11. The spot market. 12. The forward currency market. 13. Currency crosses. 14. Currency futures. 15. Currency options. 16. Major option strategies on currencies. 17. Economic fundamentals. 18. Financial and sociopolitical factors. 19. Technical analysis. 20. Trend reversal patterns. 21. Trend continuation patterns. 22. Formulations unique to bar charts for futures. 23. Point-and-figure charting. 24. Candlestick charting. 25. Quantitative trading methods. 26. Oscillators and Studies. 27. W.D. Gann Analysis. 28. The Elliot Wave.
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Market Evaluation and Analysis for Swing Trading
- Methods and Strategies for an Ever Changing Market
by David Nassar and Bill Lupien
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
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The New Market Wizards
- Conversations With Americas Top Traders
by Jack Schwager
[see details | buy at Amazon.com]
Includes a chapter on turtle trading and an interview with original turtle
trader William Eckhardt.
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